
2024 Q4 Outlooks

Moz Afzal
EFG International
Following the US election we have increased our allocation in equities substantially, from a neutral position to an overweight. Most of the change in allocation has been directed to US equities, with a bias towards small-cap companies.
While increasing equities to an overweight, we maintain a neutral exposure to fixed income. We significantly reduced our cash allocation once US election uncertainty disappeared and the confirmation of a Red sweep from the Republican party of the White House and Congress. We have a high conviction position in US small-cap equities, which could outperform in the current context of a decelerating US economy and interest rates coming down. However, we emphasise the need to remain selective in this space.
How would you describe 2024 in three words?
Elections, disinflation, AI
What is your top book, podcast or TV recommendation this year?
Podcast: The High Performance Podcast
Book: No Trade Is Free, Robert Lighthizer
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